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WHY WE ARE FALLING BEHIND <br /> The property owners of North Sleutter Road will pay the entire cost of improving their road today. Over the next <br /> 24 years,they will contribute to the maintenance and improvements of all the roads in the city,yet will not require <br /> any improvements themselves. In year 25, when some of the current property owners will no longer even remain <br /> on their properties, all of the City's taxpayers will be asked to pay double the amount of revenue collected from <br /> these properties over the past two and a half decades to fix the road. <br /> Project Cost: $154,400 <br /> Cumulative Taxes Paid by Property Owners: $79,400 <br /> Shortfall: -$75,000 <br /> In short, the current system requires the City to trade near-term improvements for long-term liabilities. The true <br /> costs are not being realized until decades after the commitments have been made. We are only starting to realize <br /> this now in other parts of the City,where commitments made years ago are beginning to overwhelm the budget. <br /> This all assumes a very low inflation rate over the next 25 years. Historically, construction costs have increased <br /> faster than the general rate of inflation.This may not hold true in the changing economy, but neither can we count <br /> on low bituminous prices far into the future. If the average inflation rate were to rise to 3% for example, the <br /> project would cost$225,000 and the gap would be$145,000. <br /> The analysis also assumes annual tax increases. While the rate of increase is modest at 1.5%, there are likely few <br /> that would commit today to never-ending increases in the rate of taxation. If the rate of taxation is held steady, <br /> the funding shortfall in 25 years would be between$90,000(1.5%inflation) and$160,000(3%inflation). <br /> OPTIONS FOR CLOSING THE GAP <br /> There are two sides to the long-term funding equation. To make things balance, we need to increase revenues, <br /> reduce expenses or a combination of the two. <br /> INCREASING REVENUE <br /> We don't know the total extent of the infrastructure funding shortfall that exists within the city limits. For that to <br /> be known,the City would need to perform a complete inventory and assessment of existing infrastructure systems <br /> and then answer some fundamental questions. <br /> • How much public infrastructure does the City have? What condition is it in? When will it need to be <br /> maintained or improved?What is the estimated cost? <br /> • Does the City have the resources to maintain the existing public infrastructure over the long term?What <br /> are the funding sources?Are they reliable? <br /> • Where are the parts of the system that generate a positive rate of return (generate more revenue than <br /> they cost to maintain)? Where are the parts that have a negative rate of return (cost more to maintain <br /> than they generate in revenue)? <br /> If the economics of North Sleutter road are representative of the city as a whole— and there is reason to believe <br /> that the high shoreline property values and low infrastructure costs make it closer to a best-case scenario—then <br /> the City's tax rate would need to be increased immediately by 25% if this problem is to be solved by adding <br /> Page 1 3 <br />